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Chelsea plays the most important match at Stamford Bridge

Chelsea achieved the impossible over the weekend by winning away at Liverpool, despite resting some of its key players. At least in theory, they are still capable of winning the Premier League, but the odds for this to happen are remote as both Liverpool and Manchester City need to fail miserably. On the bright side, they are certain that they will be playing in the Champions League next season, a competition that they won two years ago.

Very few expected Chelsea to be still in the race, but now that they play the second leg of the semifinals the odds seem to be in their favor. The first leg ended undecided in Madrid, but the Blues suffered a major loss when Cech got injured and had to be replaced before half time. He won’t feature in the starting formation and Hazard is also sidelined with an injury, so Mourinho won’t have two of his key players.Chelsea

On the bright side, the Portuguese coach knows how to extract the most from what he’s got and Chelsea remains a formidable opponent even without those two players. Their offensive will probably feature Torres and Schurrle, as Eto’o is not yet fully recovered, but Ba is also an option. The young player from Senegal scored two important goals this month and played a critical role in Chelsea’s success over PSG.

If the visitors score early in the game, the hosts will have no choice but to use three strikers even though this is not the tactic that Mourinho prefers. The biggest problem for the British team is that Atletico only needs one goal to get in the driver’s seat and they’ve got plenty of strikers capable of delivering that goal. Diego Costa and David Villa could’ve been rested over the weekend, but Simeons decided to take no chance and used both of them upfront.

As a result, Atletico Madrid won by 1-0 against Valencia and they are now only three games away from winning the Primera Division after a lengthy drought. There are no injury concerns for the Argentinian coach ahead of this fixture and it is only fair to assume that he will be using exactly the same players that featured against Valencia. They didn’t have better ball possession, but that made no difference in the end, because the hosts were powerless in penetrating their precise defense.

Chelsea will surely give them a run for their money and there are a couple of reasons for why it is wise to back the hosts tonight. On one hand they have the more experienced coach and have played at this level just two years ago, which matters a lot. On the other hand, the odds stand at 2.30 for the hosts to prevail and advance to the final, which represents great value.

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